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Can Elon Musk Make Twitter’s Numbers Work?

Nonetheless, the rates of interest on the loans replicate the chance that they won’t receives a commission again. The banks don’t maintain on to the loans however promote them to different buyers available in the market, so if Twitter can’t pay its money owed, Mr. Musk will both should pay these buyers, maybe by promoting extra Tesla inventory, or he may cede some a part of his possession of Twitter, diluting his stake.

Tesla had a market worth of $902 billion as of Friday, however its shares have fallen by practically 20 p.c since Mr. Musk first revealed, in early April, that he had purchased a giant stake in Twitter. If Twitter’s funds go south, forcing Mr. Musk to promote extra Tesla inventory to pay Twitter’s money owed or pledge extra shares as collateral for his private loans, it may put additional stress on Tesla’s inventory value. Mr. Musk doesn’t take a wage from Tesla however is paid in inventory that’s launched primarily based on efficiency milestones that embrace the corporate’s share value.

Since Mr. Musk first disclosed his stake, the tech-heavy Nasdaq index has fallen greater than 10 p.c, making his provide seem much more beneficiant. “It’s a excessive value and your shareholders will find it irresistible,” Mr. Musk mentioned in a letter to Twitter’s board. Though the social media firm’s inventory had traded increased than Mr. Musk’s provide simply six months in the past, it slumped far beneath that value early this yr and seemed unlikely to return to these highs any time quickly.

Mr. Musk has thought of teaming up with funding companies in his bid to purchase Twitter, which would scale back the sum of money he would personally have to take a position. He may nonetheless associate with a agency or different buyers like household places of work to assist increase money, in line with two individuals with data of the discussions.

Thoma Bravo, a technology-focused buyout agency, has expressed willingness to supply some financing, however nothing has been determined but. Apollo, an alternate asset supervisor, additionally checked out a attainable deal the place it will lengthen a mortgage on most popular phrases.

If the deal math turns into unpalatable for Mr. Musk, he has an out: a breakup price of $1 billion. For a person with an estimated fortune effectively over $200 billion, that’s a small value to pay.



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